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我叫陈稳，是一名求生者我曾流亡热带荒岛，在绝望中生存七天获救；也曾深入哀牢山原始森林，揭开它的神秘面纱索诺拉沙漠的巨人柱仙人掌果实味道不错；马达加斯加巨型龙虾的味道更是鲜美我见过塔克拉玛干沙漠千年不倒的胡杨；也抚摸过更古老的南极坚冰......绮美之地常在险远，非有志者不能至也有人说我是最强大的猎人，正在征服这个世界最后的荒野也有人说我是最后的德鲁伊，在荒野中探索人与自然的和谐但我
军旅
天地无大道只存神通法门，武道至先天宗师结束，仙道自先天宗师开始，仙人为求长生以众旁门之法延命。 万年老树被妖道夺去木心，化为人身入世寻心。 木子：寻不到木心，我就快要死了。 众：你还有多少年 木子：几千年吧 众：几千年？ 木子：九千年吧，不多，也就可以熬死五十个先天大宗师而已
抗战
一觉醒来，苏木穿越到民国，并且成为了军统的一名底层特工！ 就在绝望之时，获得了读取心声的能力！ 76号特工：可恶，秘密抓捕军统副站长的计划，怎么泄密了！ 特高课课长：该死，是谁泄露了潜伏在山城的绝密特工，我要杀了他！ 梅机关总部：八嘎，本土绝密情报为什么会泄露，内鬼一定在本土，无论如何也要找出来！ 就在76号，特高课，梅机关等人忙着找寻泄密源头之时，苏木则是默默退居众人身后！ 而另一边的山城军统总部，戴老板则是一脸吃惊的看着情报，整个人惊呆了！ “快，给山兔所在的小组加经费！” “不，直接翻倍！”
剑修
分析思维降低情感预测影响偏差 Analytical Thinking Reduces Impact Bias in Affective Forecast 作者： 耿晓伟 1 刘丹 1 牛燕华 1 作者单位： 1. 鲁东大学 通讯作者： 耿晓伟 Email:fengandwei@126.com 提交时间： 2020-05-07 摘要: 人们在决策前需要对决策可能带来的结果进行预测。人们往往会高估未来事件对情感的影响, 这被称为影响偏差。本研究从双系统理论出发, 考察了分析思维是否会降低情感预测影响偏差。实验1（采用图片启动）和实验2（采用语言流畅性任务）考察了分析思维对影响偏差的影响，并分析了情感预测程度的中介作用。实验3在现场中以真实的决策（生育二孩）为例，考察了分析思维启动对情感预测的影响。结果发现：分析思维会降低情感预测，进而降低情感预测的影响偏差。 Abstract: " People overestimate the intensity and duration of their affective reactions to events in the future. This is called impact bias (Wilson & Gilbert, 2003). Impact bias influences individuals’ satisfaction with their decision making. Few studies have shed light on how to reduce impact bias in affective forecast based on dual-process theories. According to dual-process theories of human thinking, there are two distinct but interacting systems for information processing. System 1 relies on frugal heuristics and produces intuitive responses, while System 2 relies on deliberative analytical processing. System 2 often overrides the input of System 1 when analytical thinking is activated. Thus, we here hypothesize that analytical thinking reduces the impact bias in affective forecasting. In experiment 1, a total of 240 undergraduates were assigned to play an ultimatum game as proposers and asked to predict how they would feel when their proposals were accepted or rejected by responders. At random, they were told their proposals were accepted or rejected. As soon as they knew the result, they were asked to report how they felt. Before the ultimatum game began, participants were randomly assigned to view pictures of The Thinker to prime analytical thinking or geometric figures as a control condition. The results showed that analytical thinking reduced impact bias in affective forecasting by reducing the intensity of predicted emotions. In experiment 2, a total of 52 undergraduates took part in a memory test. They were asked to predict how they would feel if their score on a memory test exceeded 90% or not before they took the test. As soon as they knew the result that they did not exceed 90%, they were asked to report how they felt. Before taking the memory test, participants were randomly assigned to perform a verbal fluency task with words related to analytical thinking to prime analytical thinking or to a verbal fluency task with words not related to analytical thinking as a control condition. The results showed that analytical thinking reduced impact bias in affective forecasting by reducing the intensity of predicted emotions. In experiment 3, a total of 111 women who had only one child were asked to predict how they would feel if they had a second. Before predicting their feelings, they were randomly assigned to view pictures of The Thinker to prime analytical thinking or geometric figures as a control condition. Results showed that analytical thinking reduced the positive affect of having the second child but not the negative affect of having the second child. In sum, the present research shows that analytical thinking reduces impact bias in affective forecasting by reducing the intensity of predicted emotions. It can help us reduce impact bias in affective forecasting when making decisions and promote satisfaction with those decisions. Limitations and further research are here discussed as well. 分析思维 情感预测 影响偏差 双系统理论 来自： 耿晓伟 分类： 心理学 >> 应用心理学 引用： ChinaXiv:202005.00026 (或此版本 ChinaXiv:202005.00026V1 ) doi:10.12074/202005.00026 CSTR:32003.36.ChinaXiv.202005.00026.V1 推荐引用方式： 耿晓伟,刘丹,牛燕华.(2020).分析思维降低情感预测影响偏差.中国科学院科技论文预发布平台.[ChinaXiv:202005.00026] 版本历史 [V1] 2020-05-07 09:30:00 ChinaXiv:202005.00026V1 下载全文
幻想纯爱
【天才流】【女帝】【退婚流】【女版废材流】【纯爱】【悟性逆天】【大帝之姿】【轻松爽文】 重生成为一名婴儿，叶天澜发现自己走的竟然是古之大帝模板，开局悟性逆天，天生异象，资质举世无双！ 最重要的是，他发现自己似乎只要靠近女人修炼速度就能得到加强，资质越强加成越快！ 刚好这个时候家族为他选定了一门婚事。 一代天命女帝竟然惨遭退婚，退婚的对象还是本家的堂哥？ 既然你不要，那我可就收下了！ 叶天澜果断选择对方作为自己的未婚妻，修炼速度飙升到前无古人后无来者的地步。 随着时间流逝，叶天澜越发发现自己这未婚妻似乎有点不对劲。 总是一个人黯然失神。 等等，身怀神秘残缺玉剑，阅历渊博，家族落寞，父亲失踪，母亲未知，还有一个被人为破坏的剑道第一圣体？ 这模板···
军事战争
战利品便是手中一根一米长短的残破铁棍，若不是这铁棍是插在这兰州资源环境职业技术大学之中，若不是这里是垂天秘境，陈旭还真要以为这是前世那种普通的烧火棍了。
权谋
2014年5月27日，主演的惊悚电影《暖暖换装物语》上映
出版文学
2016年2月，献声《回忆杀》推广曲《仙人混战》
盗墓
上一世，沈朝安为了哥哥机关算尽，却落得一个被亲妹妹宋雨眠捅死的下场。死后才知，原来哥哥们早就已经厌倦了她的心机深沉，反而喜欢宋雨眠的天真单纯。重回父母离异的那个高中。这一世，宋雨眠主动留在了宋家，沈朝安则是和母亲离开。本以为宋家的路会比上一世更加平坦。可谁知，宋家的哥哥们，一个接一个的崩人设，险些喜提牢狱之灾。而沈家则是蒸蒸日上，甚至还多了一个身份高贵的亲舅舅！宋雨眠后悔了，想换回去
废柴
热血|励志|战斗|冒险|伪科幻|升级流】 ps.本书又名《不能再拖了》
碾压
苏青玉
楼下的握手啊握手，我在第一次看明晓溪的时候就觉得和张娜拉的感觉太像了，如果说要把这拍成电视剧的话。我觉得张娜拉绝对是不二人选
只一眼，便赔上一生，这实在太唯美，太虚幻了。虐的不成人形啊，心酸……
汗楼上的各位一个小溪--〉小泉所以是朋友，所以取了这个名字吧拜托大家不要那么粪好不好
祁哥权利很大嘛
安迪·威尔的新书又来啦！ 安迪·威尔可以说是现在最炙手可热的科幻作家了，其之前的两部作品，第一部《火星救援》我虽然没有看过原著小说，但是看过改编的同名电影，可以说是相当硬核的科幻作品，第二部《月球城市》，之前看过小说，从这本书中真正了解到作者的写作风格，安迪... ( 展开